Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5917 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 5917 · IAH → ASE

departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5917 · IAH → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?