UA 2447 · AUS → DEN

departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 4:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip2.00 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2447 · AUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?