WN 1415 · DAL → MDW

departs 7:16 PM CT · arrives 9:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±6 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.36 in

MDW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1415 · DAL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?