Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1419 · DAL → TUL
departs 9:55 PM CT · arrives 11:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
75%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
75%
Leave 15+ late
79%
Arrive 1h+ late
49%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
37%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.13 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.