Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1656 · MCO → SJU
departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.