Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1656 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 1656 · MCO → SJU

departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM AT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1656 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?