Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2575
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2575 · MCI → MIA
departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 20%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.62 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.