Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1119 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1119 · SAT → CLT

departs 6:01 AM CT · arrives 10:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.65 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1119 · SAT → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?