Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1224SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 1224 · PHX → JFK
departs 12:53 PM MT · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
38%chance · ±2 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.