tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 1501 · MIA → BNA

departs 3:29 PM ET · arrives 4:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BNA?

  1. On time or early
    38%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    24%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.