Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1505 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1505 · PHL → BNA

departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1505 · PHL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?