Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1540 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1540 · CLT → CMH

departs 7:23 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1540 · CLT → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?