Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1540 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1540 · CLT → CMH

departs 7:23 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1540 · CLT → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?