Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1624 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1624 · DFW → DCA

departs 9:57 AM CT · arrives 1:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1624 · DFW → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?