Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1721 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1721 · MIA → BNA

departs 10:57 PM ET · arrives 12:16 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BNA that day

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

BNA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1721 · MIA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?