Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2046 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2046 · CLT → MCI

departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 4:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2046 · CLT → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?