Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2092 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2092 · MCO → MIA

departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MIA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2092 · MCO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?