Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2392 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2392 · CLT → MEM

departs 10:56 PM ET · arrives 11:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MEM that day

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2392 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?