Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2431
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2431 · CLT → STT
departs 7:16 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM AST
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to STT?
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On time or early
89%
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15–30 min late
4%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
1%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.