Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2431SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2431 · CLT → STT
departs 7:16 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM AST
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to STT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.