Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2496 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2496 · CLT → SAT

departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 4:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ CLT is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip1.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2496 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?