Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2873 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2873 · TYS → DFW

departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2873 · TYS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?