Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2873SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2873 · TYS → DFW
departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%chance · ±1 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.