Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2912 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2912 · CLT → MIA

departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 3:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2912 · CLT → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?