Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2999 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2999 · DFW → EWR

departs 6:19 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±9 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.13 in

EWR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2999 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?