Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3041 · PHL → ATL

departs 5:35 PM ET · arrives 7:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3041 · PHL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?