Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3047 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3047 · CLT → BNA

departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 1:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3047 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?