Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3047 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 3047 · CLT → BNA

departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 1:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.54 in

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3047 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?