Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3091 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3091 · DFW → FAT

departs 9:59 PM CT · arrives 11:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FAT?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

FAT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3091 · DFW → FAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAT?