Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3302 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 3302 · PHL → MIA

departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 2:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.07 in

MIA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3302 · PHL → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?