tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 406 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 406 · AUS → MIA

departs 5:02 AM CT · arrives 8:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.