tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 406 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 406 · AUS → MIA

departs 5:02 AM CT · arrives 8:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 5.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.