Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 551 · DFW → SAN
departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 3:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
53%
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15–30 min late
21%
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30 min–1 hour late
5%
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1–2 hours late
12%
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Over 2 hours late
6%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.