tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 555 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 555 · SEA → MSP

departs 8:35 AM PT · arrives 1:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.