Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1098 · MCO → LGA
departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 66%
Mon 10/5 46%
Tue 10/6 36%
Wed 10/7 48%
Thu 10/8 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.