Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
B6 1098 · MCO → LGA
departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 46%
Tue 10/6 36%
Wed 10/7 48%
Thu 10/8 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.