Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1578 · MCO → BDL
departs 1:41 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.