Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 1578 · MCO → BDL
departs 12:34 PM ET · arrives 3:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.