Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1578 · MCO → BDL
departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 4:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.