Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1728 · MCO → EWR
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 43%
Tue 10/6 32%
Wed 10/7 43%
Thu 10/8 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.25 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.