Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 24 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

B6 24 · PBI → DCA

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PBI is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

PBI (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.25 in

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 24 · PBI → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?