Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 2954 · DCA → BOS
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 68%
Mon 10/5 45%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 48%
Thu 10/8 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.67 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.