Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
B6 2954 · DCA → BOS
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 45%
Tue 10/6 30%
Wed 10/7 54%
Thu 10/8 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.34 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.