Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2181 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2181 · AVL → MSP

departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from AVL are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2181 · AVL → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?