Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2186
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 2186 · SEA → FAI
departs 9:41 PM PT · arrives 12:30 AM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to FAI?
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On time or early
77%
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15–30 min late
11%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.