Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2315 · ATL → JAX
departs 7:54 PM ET · arrives 9:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.