Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2315 · ATL → JAX
departs 7:31 PM ET · arrives 8:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 52%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.