Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2315 · ATL → JAX
departs 7:54 PM ET · arrives 9:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.38 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.