Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 2507 · AUS → MIA
departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 12:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 14%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.38 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.