Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2507 · AUS → MIA
departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 12:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
8am departures from AUS are usually not late
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.13 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 9,429 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.